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Seven Buyer Profiles I Tell NOT to Buy in Cabo — and What They Should Do Instead

Aaron CuhaAaron Cuha|October 27, 202614 min read2,211 words

Should you buy property in Cabo San Lucas? Maybe. Maybe not. I have been coaching real estate buyers for over a decade — licensed in 12 states, hundreds of transactions closed — and in the Los Cabos market specifically since 2019. In that time, I have talked roughly three out of ten callers out of buying. Not because Cabo is a bad market. It is one of the strongest luxury resort markets in the Western Hemisphere. But because certain buyer profiles turn a good market into an expensive lesson. Here are seven profiles I tell to slow down, rethink, or walk away entirely — and what each one should do instead.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • Roughly 30% of prospective Cabo buyers should not buy — at least not now, and not in the way they are approaching it
  • The #1 predictor of buyer regret is emotional purchase timing — decisions made on vacation, after drinks, or before visiting in both high and low season
  • Over-leveraged buyers who stretch for Cabo miss the $15,000–$25,000 in annual carrying costs beyond the mortgage that make or break the ownership experience
  • The strongest Cabo buyers share three traits: lifestyle-first motivation, 6+ months of research, and financial margin for the unexpected
  • If you see yourself in any of these profiles, the advice is not "don't buy ever" — it is "don't buy yet"

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1. The Impulse Buyer

You know this person. They just spent four days at an all-inclusive in Cabo San Lucas. The weather was perfect, the margaritas were strong, and someone at the pool mentioned they just bought a condo. Now it is Sunday night, the flight home is in six hours, and they are on their phone looking at Zillow-equivalent listings with a credit card in their other hand.

I get these calls every Monday morning from January through April. "We were just there and we want to buy." My first question is always the same: "Have you been to Cabo in August?" The answer, almost without exception, is no. You have seen the highlight reel. You have not seen the 110-degree days, the humidity, the hurricane prep, or the reduced restaurant and service hours in green season. Cabo in January and Cabo in August are two different cities.

What to do instead: Come back. Rent a place for a week in March and again for a week in September. If you still love it in the off-season heat with the restaurants on summer schedules and the tourist crowds gone, then we talk. That $2,000 in rental costs is the cheapest due diligence you will ever do. Read our 90-day rental trial guide for the full playbook.

2. The Over-Leveraged Buyer

This person can afford the purchase price — barely. They are stretching to the top of their budget because Cabo feels aspirational and the monthly payment technically fits. What they have not factored in: the $15,000–$25,000 per year in carrying costs on top of the purchase price.

I am talking about:

  • Fideicomiso annual fees: $500–$800
  • Predial (property tax): $1,500–$6,000
  • HOA fees: $3,000–$12,000 (higher in branded residences)
  • Property insurance: $2,000–$5,000
  • Property management: $3,000–$8,000 (if you are not there year-round)
  • Maintenance, cleaning, utilities: $3,000–$8,000
  • Unexpected repairs: budget $2,000–$5,000/year (salt air corrodes everything faster than you expect)

Add that up and a $600,000 condo actually costs $18,000–$40,000 per year to carry, not counting the mortgage. The buyer who stretched to afford the $600K has no margin for the roof repair, the special assessment, or the three-month vacancy when the rental market softens. They end up resentful, then panicked, then selling at a loss in a buyer's market. I have watched this exact sequence play out at least a dozen times. See our annual cost of ownership breakdown for the real numbers.

What to do instead: Buy at 60–70% of your maximum approved budget. That 30% cushion is not wasted — it is the difference between enjoying your property and being imprisoned by it. If your budget is $500K, look at $350K. If it is $2M, look at $1.3M. The carrying costs on the lower-priced property are dramatically more manageable, and you actually use the place instead of stressing about it.

3. The Control Freak

Things work differently in Mexico. The plumber is coming "mañana" — which might mean tomorrow, might mean Thursday. The notario takes four weeks to process a document that a US title company would turn in three days. The HOA meeting is in Spanish and nobody translated the agenda. The power goes out for two hours because the transformer blew and CFE will fix it when they fix it.

Some people adapt to this rhythm and come to appreciate it. Others cannot. If you are the type of person who needs things done on your timeline, to your exact specifications, with an immediately responsive customer service infrastructure — Mexico will make you miserable. This is not a criticism of Mexico. It is a different system with different rhythms, and it works for the people who live in it. But it does not bend to accommodate your expectations, and the people who try to force it end up exhausted and angry.

What to do instead: Rent for three months before buying. Not a resort rental — a real house in a real neighborhood. Deal with the gas delivery, the internet outage, the plumber. If those experiences make you furious rather than philosophical, you have your answer. Consider a fully-managed branded residence where someone else handles everything and you just show up — though even there, "everything" in Mexico runs on Mexico time. Or consider whether a Palmilla or Querencia level of concierge service can bridge the gap.

4. The One-Season Visitor

I touched on this with the impulse buyer, but it deserves its own category. This person has been to Cabo five times — all in January. Or all in March. Or all in November. They know one version of Los Cabos and they are buying into that version. The problem: you own property 365 days a year, and Cabo is a different experience depending on when you are there.

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The peak season (November–April) features 75–85°F weather, dry air, packed restaurants, and a social scene that rivals any resort town in the world. The green season (May–October) brings 90–110°F heat, 70–80% humidity, occasional tropical storms, and a quieter pace with some businesses on reduced hours or closed entirely. Both versions are beautiful. But if you only know winter Cabo and you are buying a property you plan to visit in August, you need to understand what you are walking into.

What to do instead: Visit in the opposite season from what you know. If all your trips have been January–March, book a week in August or September. Walk the neighborhoods, check the restaurant hours, feel the heat, see the surf. Make your decision with full information. Our green season guide and peak season guide will tell you exactly what to expect.

5. The "I'll Figure Out Rental Income Later" Buyer

This buyer is counting on rental income to offset carrying costs but has done zero research on actual rental performance, management logistics, or regulatory requirements. They assume "it's Cabo, people will always want to rent it." And in the broadest sense, they are right — Cabo has strong rental demand. But the gap between "strong rental demand in the aggregate" and "my specific unit generates enough income to cover my costs" is enormous.

The factors that determine rental success are hyper-specific: unit size and configuration, floor level, view quality, community amenities, proximity to the beach, quality of furnishing, listing optimization, pricing strategy, and property management execution. A well-positioned two-bedroom condo in Cabo del Sol with professional management might generate $60,000–$80,000 in gross rental income. A poorly positioned unit in the same community might generate $25,000. Same purchase price, radically different outcomes.

What to do instead: Build your rental pro forma before you make an offer, not after. Talk to three property management companies. Get actual occupancy and rate data for comparable units in the specific development you are considering. Run the numbers at 60% of the optimistic projection (because management companies always quote the best-case scenario). If the math works at 60%, you have a solid investment. If it only works at 90% occupancy, you are gambling. See our rental income ROI analysis for community-by-community data.

6. The Couple That Disagrees

One partner is all in. The other is skeptical, scared, or openly opposed. The enthusiastic partner is dragging the reluctant one through the process, interpreting silence as consent and concerns as obstacles to overcome. I have seen this exact dynamic kill more transactions — and more relationships — than bad market timing.

International real estate is a decision that requires genuine alignment. If one partner is uncomfortable with the idea of owning property in a foreign country, the legal complexity of a fideicomiso, the distance from the asset, or the financial commitment, that discomfort does not go away at closing. It festers. Every maintenance issue becomes "I told you we shouldn't have bought this." Every carrying cost becomes a resentment line item. Every vacation to the property becomes a negotiation rather than a pleasure.

What to do instead: Have the honest conversation before you talk to an agent. Not "are you okay with this?" (which invites a conflict-avoidant yes) but "what are your three biggest concerns about this, and what would need to be true for you to feel comfortable?" If those conditions can be met — maybe it is renting first, or buying smaller than planned, or having a guaranteed exit strategy — meet them. If they cannot, respect that.

7. The Pure Financial Speculator

This person has zero interest in living in Cabo. They have never been. They have no plan to visit. They read an article about appreciation rates and want to "park money in Mexico real estate." They are treating a lifestyle property in a resort market like a REIT position, and they are going to get hurt.

Cabo real estate can be a strong investment — the data supports that. But the returns are partially predicated on a hands-on approach: selecting the right property, managing it actively, making smart renovation decisions, and timing the rental market. An absentee speculator who buys sight-unseen and hands everything to a management company is going to get the worst property in the building, the laziest management, and the highest fees. They will net 3–4% while the hands-on owner in the next unit nets 8–10%.

What to do instead: If you want Mexico real estate exposure as a pure financial play, talk to a financial advisor about REITs, private real estate funds with Mexico holdings, or at minimum the investment evaluation framework I use with every client. If the lifestyle component is not part of the equation, there are more liquid, more diversified, and lower-friction ways to invest in Mexican real estate than buying a specific condo you will never visit. And if after reviewing the data you still want to buy, at least fly down and walk the property. I will never help someone buy a property they have not stood inside.

So Who SHOULD Buy in Cabo?

The buyers who thrive in Cabo — the ones who call me three years later to say it was the best decision they ever made — share these traits:

  • Lifestyle motivation first, investment second. They want to be there. The rental income and appreciation are bonuses, not the thesis.
  • They have visited in both seasons. They know what they are signing up for 365 days a year.
  • Financial margin. They are buying at 60–70% of their maximum budget and have 12+ months of carrying costs in reserve.
  • Patience with different systems. They find Mexico's rhythms charming or at least tolerable, not infuriating.
  • Both partners are aligned. If it is a couple, both people are genuinely enthusiastic — not one dragging the other.
  • They have done the homework. They have read the buying guide, they understand the fideicomiso, they know the closing costs, and they have a CPA who understands cross-border tax.

If that description sounds like you, we should talk. Cabo is one of the best luxury real estate markets in the Americas for buyers who come in prepared. And 2026's elevated inventory and softening prices make it an even better entry point than it was two years ago.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What percentage of prospective Cabo buyers should not buy?+

Based on my experience coaching buyers across 12 states and in Los Cabos specifically since 2019, roughly 30% of people who contact me about buying are not ready — either financially, emotionally, or logistically. This does not mean they should never buy. It means they should wait, do more research, visit in the off-season, or address the specific issue holding them back before committing $500K+ to an international property.

What are the annual carrying costs for a Cabo property beyond the purchase price?+

Expect $15,000-$25,000 per year in carrying costs on top of your mortgage: fideicomiso fees ($500-$800), predial property tax ($1,500-$6,000), HOA fees ($3,000-$12,000), insurance ($2,000-$5,000), property management ($3,000-$8,000 if not full-time), maintenance and utilities ($3,000-$8,000), and a reserve for unexpected repairs ($2,000-$5,000). Salt air corrosion alone adds 20-30% to maintenance costs compared to a non-coastal US property.

Should I rent before buying a property in Cabo?+

Absolutely, especially if you have only visited Cabo during one season. Rent for at least a week in both high season (November-April) and green season (May-October). A long-term rental of 30-90 days is even better — it reveals the daily realities of living in Los Cabos that a resort vacation never will. The $2,000-$5,000 rental cost is the cheapest due diligence investment you can make on a property purchase of $500K or more.

Can I buy Cabo property purely as an investment without visiting?+

I strongly advise against it. The returns on Cabo real estate depend heavily on property-specific factors — unit position, view quality, community amenities, furnishing quality, and management execution. An absentee speculator who buys sight-unseen typically gets the worst property selection, the laziest management, and nets 3-4% while hands-on owners net 8-10% on comparable properties. At minimum, visit the property before making an offer.

What should I do if my spouse is not enthusiastic about buying in Cabo?+

Do not proceed until both partners are genuinely aligned. Ask your partner: 'What are your three biggest concerns, and what would need to be true for you to feel comfortable?' If those conditions can be met (renting first, buying smaller, having an exit plan), meet them. If they cannot, respect that. Every maintenance issue and carrying cost becomes a relationship friction point when one partner was reluctant from the start. A $15,000 vacation rental year is far cheaper than the resentment of a forced $800K purchase.

What budget cushion should I have when buying Cabo property?+

Buy at 60-70% of your maximum approved budget, not your maximum. The 30% cushion covers unexpected carrying costs, special assessments, repairs, and rental income shortfalls. Additionally, keep 12+ months of carrying costs ($15,000-$25,000) in liquid reserves. The buyers who get into trouble are the ones who stretched to afford the purchase price and have zero margin for the realities of property ownership in a foreign country.

How long should I research before buying property in Cabo?+

The strongest buyers I work with have typically researched for 6-12 months before making their first offer. This includes: at least two visits (one in high season, one in green season), conversations with 2-3 property management companies, a reviewed rental pro forma, a conversation with a cross-border CPA, and a basic understanding of the fideicomiso, closing costs, and legal process. Rushing this timeline is the single most common predictor of buyer regret.

Is 2026 a good time to buy property in Cabo?+

For prepared buyers, yes. Elevated inventory (2,500+ active listings in the BCS MLS), softer pricing in several communities, and motivated sellers create a buyer-favorable environment not seen since 2019-2020. But 'good time to buy' is meaningless without the right buyer profile. A prepared buyer with financial margin, lifestyle motivation, and both-season experience will find 2026 excellent. An impulse buyer who visited once in January will still make a bad decision regardless of market conditions.

Aaron Cuha
About the Author

Aaron Cuha

Real Estate Advisor & Los Cabos Market Expert

Real estate advisor and founder of Living In Cabo. 15+ years helping families navigate complex real estate decisions. Strategic partner with Ronival — Baja's largest brokerage.